Chaffey – SA 2022

LIB 18.0%

Incumbent MP
Tim Whetstone, since 2010.

Geography
Regional South Australia. Chaffey covers the ‘Riverlands’ along the Murray River to the east of Adelaide, on the Victorian and NSW boundary.

Redistribution
Chaffey retained all of its existing territory and expanded south to take in the Karoonda East Murray council area as well as more of the Mid Murray council area. The main towns in this area are Cambrai and Karoonda. These changes increased the Liberal margin from 17.3% to 18.0%.

History
The electorate of Chaffey has existed since the 1938 election. The seat has gone through four periods: independent rule until the 1950s, marginal seat from 1956 to 1973, Liberal rule from 1973 to 1997, and National Party rule from 1997 to 2010.

Peter Arnold held the seat for the Liberal and Country League and then the Liberal Party from 1968 to 1970 and from 1973 until his retirement in 1993.

The Liberal Party’s Kent Andrew won Chaffey in 1993. At the 1997 election, Andrew lost to the National Party’s Karlene Maywald.

Maywald was elected with a strong margin in 2002, and in that hung parliament supported the Liberal Party in their unsuccessful bid to continue in government. Despite this decision, Maywald accepted an offer in 2004 to serve as a minister in the Rann Labor government.

While Maywald’s decision was controversial, she increased her margin at the 2006 election. She continued in the ministry after the 2006 election, despite the Rann government having a solid majority in the House of Assembly. Her support in the electorate dropped substantially after the 2006 election.

At the 2010 election, Maywald suffered a 15% swing away from her and to the Liberal candidate on the primary vote, and a 20% swing after preferences, which saw Liberal candidate Tim Whetstone elected after preferences with a 3.8% margin. Whetstone was re-elected in 2014 and 2018.

Candidates

Assessment
Chaffey is a safe Liberal seat.

2018 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Tim Whetstone Liberal 9,489 46.1 -17.6 47.1
Michelle Campbell SA-Best 5,136 24.9 +24.9 24.7
Sim Singh-Malhi Labor 3,972 19.3 +1.7 18.8
Trevor Scott Australian Christians 1,366 6.6 -6.6 6.4
Philip Pointer Greens 404 2.0 -3.6 2.1
Richard Challis Dignity 229 1.1 +1.1 1.0
Informal 935 4.3

2018 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Tim Whetstone Liberal 12,059 58.6 59.1
Michelle Campbell SA-Best 8,537 41.4 40.9

2018 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Tim Whetstone Liberal 13,857 67.3 -6.7 68.0
Sim Singh-Malhi Labor 6,739 32.7 +6.7 32.0

Booth breakdown

Booths in Chaffey have been divided into three areas: Berri Barmera, Renmark and the south.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 62.6% in Renmark to 72.2% in the south.

SA-Best came second, with a primary vote ranging from 21.3% in Renmark to 28.5% in Berry Barmera.

Voter group SAB prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
South 24.4 72.2 7,457 33.7
Berri Barmera 28.5 63.6 5,411 24.4
Renmark 21.3 62.6 3,701 16.7
Other votes 23.5 70.3 5,582 25.2

Election results in Chaffey at the 2018 South Australian state election
Toggle between two-candidate-preferred votes (Liberal vs SA-Best), two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, SA-Best and Labor.

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